سعر برميل النفط برنت يهبط الى 59 دولارا لأول مرة منذ 5 سنوات
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واصلت اسعار النفط تدهورها الثلاثاء وتدنى سعر برميل البرنت الى ما دون الستين دولارا للمرة الاولى منذ خمس سنوات ونصف، في ظل تصاعد المخاوف على الاقتصاد العالمي بعد صدور ارقام صينية مخيبة للامال.
ففي حوالى الساعة 9,40 بتوقيت غرينتش بلغ سعر برميل البرنت المرجعي لبحر الشمال، تسليم كانون الثاني، 59,18 دولارا في سوق لندن المالي، اي بتراجع 1,88 دولارا قياسا الى سعر الاقفال الاثنين بعد انخفاضه الى 59,02 دولارا ليسجل ادنى مستوى له منذ ايار 2009.
وفي الوقت نفسه بلغ سعر برميل النفط الخفيف (لايت سويت كرود) المرجعي تسليم كانون الثاني ايضا 54،28 دولارا في سوق نيويورك المالي، اي بتراجع 1,63 دولارا قياسا الى سعر الاقفال الاثنين. وفي حوالي الساعة 9,30 ت غ تدهور الخام المرجعي الاميركي الى ادنى مستوياته منذ ايار 2009.
وقد سجلت اسعار النفط تدهورا جديدا الثلاثاء مع الاعلان عن تراجع الانتاج الصناعي الصيني في كانون الاول الى ادنى مستوى له منذ سبعة اشهر بحسب مؤشر المشتريات الصينية الذي نشره مصرف "اتش اس بي سي" الثلاثاء.
وقال مايك فان دالكن المحلل في اكسندو ماركتس "اذا لم يرتفع النشاط الصناعي الصيني او اذا تقلص، فهذا يعني ان بقية العالم لا يستهلك بشكل كاف وان الصين بحاجة لطاقة اقل لانها تصنع كمية اقل من المنتجات".
واضاف ان "المحاولات اليائسة" التي تقوم بها روسيا، المنتج الكبير للذهب الاسود، لدعم الروبل تزيد المخاوف على الاقتصاد الروسي في كان "الاسوأ سياتي لاحقا بالنسبة للنفط".
وعاود الروبل تدهوره اليوم الثلاثاء عند انتهاء الجلسة الصباحية الى مستويات قياسية مقابل الدولار الاميركي واليورو بالرغم من اعلان البنك المركزي الروسي زيادة كبيرة لمعدلات الفائدة الرئيسية لترتفع من 10,5% الى 17% .
وخسرت العملة الوطنية الروسية منذ بداية السنة 42% من قيمتها مقابل اليورو و49% مقابل الدولار.
وتدنت اسعار النفط قرابة النصف منذ بداية العام في ظل توافر فائض كبير في العرض ونمو ضعيف للطلب.
وتوقعت الوكالة الدولية للطاقة الجمعة نموا للطلب اقل مما هو متوقع في 2015. وقالت في تقريرها الشهري لكانون الاول ان استهلاك النفط سينمو بواقع 900 الف برميل في اليوم العام المقبل ليبلغ 93,3 مليون برميل يوميا، مقابل توقعات سابقة من 93,6 مليون برميل يوميا.
ومن جهة المنتجين فان منظمة الدول المصدرة للنفط (اوبك) مصرة على موقفها عدم التدخل في اسواق النفط بعد ان ابقت على سقف انتاجها بدون تغيير خلال اجتماعها الاخير في نهاية تشرين الثاني في فيينا وهو 30 مليون برميل في اليوم.
ولفت المحللون في مكتب الوساطة "بي في ام" الى انه "بمعزل عن ضعف الاقتصاد (العالمي) فان على الاسواق النفطية ان تدير مشاكلها الذاتية".
وكانت الاسعار سجلت ارتفاعا لوقت قصير بعد اغلاق مصفاتين نفطيتين في ليبيا الاثنين لكن ذلك توقف لانه يبدو واضحا ان ايران تريد الانضمام الى دول الخليج الاخرى بخفض اسعارها الرسمية بغية حماية حصصها في الاسواق.
وفي مطلع كانون الاول خفضت السعودية بشكل كبير الاسعار الرسمية لنفطها الخام المصدر الى آسيا والولايات المتحدة.
وقد اعتبر قرار السعودية التي تعد ابرز دول اوبك بشكل واسع بمثابة تأكيد لحرب الاسعار الذي يهدف خصوصا الى وقف تنامي انتاج النفط الصخري (الشيست) الاميركي الذي يعتبر استخراجه الاعلى كلفة.
11:15 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
81
be happy for the gulfies who are wasting billions and squandering their resources selling them cheap to support the US economy. slave nations
11:20 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
81
and btw this article is linking the whole thing to china only, while china does not even consume half as much oil as the US does (9mb v/s 19mb)
13:50 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
22
Guys,
This is a a purely commercial decision which has some political benefits such as starving the crazy regimes like Khamanei and Putin's that are starving their populations in order to consolidate more power.
There is demand and supply and currently the market is over supplied, (remember the US produces as much as Saudi today) and in 2013 it only bought 25% of its crude from Gulf countries.
At above USD 100, Saudi was losing market share against producers and now they are flexing their commercial muscles bringing the shale oil industry in the US to their knees and kicking out other producers with high cost.
Driving down the price of crude is an excellent commercial decision for Saudi and it is also great for citizens and residents of Lebanon.
It should drive down the price of gazoline, diesel and electricity. Brilliant for consumers anywhere, bad for crazy dictators that rely on oil to bully their people and their neighbours.
18:57 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
62
hahahhaha guys please what trade are you guys in? i'd love to do some business with you if that's how smart you are :)
when trading in natural resources nobody cares what market share you have, it's how you maximize the total income you can generate from it.
saudi has a limited supply of oil, by selling it at 60$ they lose 40$ on each barrel, regardless of the market share. plain and simple.
compare to gold for instance, if you still havent gotten the concept. say you are sitting on a ton of gold, would you rather take 100% of the market by selling it at half its worth, or sell half the amount for the same money, and still be sitting on half a ton?
the funny part is that when saudi runs dry the US will dump it like a used diaper, and make billions on their own reserves, which they have been preserving and they will certainly not sell as cheap as they have been buying from other countries for the last decades.
20:12 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
02
_mowaten , you failed at humor, I don't think economy is an option for you?!
23:14 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
11
With oil at $40 soon, Colombia will stop selling to China, deep sea drilling will be un-economic, a lot of shale oil producers will go out of business. All these players will be out of the market and stop undercutting Saudi oil for quite some time, especially if the price remains low for the next couple of years.
They will need a lot of time to ramp up production once oil goes back to $100. Furthermore, all solar, wind and other alternative fuels will be uneconomic as long as oil is at $40.
Finally, why should Saudi cut production to benefit its competitors, especially shale.
19:44 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
24
I wonder if you actually read before you post, and if you read do you actually understand what you read. People are talking about stimulus in the U.S. and Chinese economies as a result of falling oil prices and not the Russian and Iranian economies....(
12:10 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
25
Both Russia and Iran are suffering the most. Russia needs oil to be @100 usd to meet its fiscal needs in 2014/2015 while Iran's oil exports are one of the very few sources of hard currency. The American and the Chinese economies in particular will benefit most by lower energy costs. As a consequence, lower costs to do business and manufacturing will lead to economic growth and lower inflation. Norma.Jean is spot on.
13:57 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
32
Who cares about China, the US, Iran or Saudi...all I care about is Lebanon and lower crude oil prices are great for people living in Lebanon.
Hezbollah should not worry about receiving their monthly allowance , the regime in the Islamic Republic of Iran is happy to starve its own population in order to fund its military presence in Lebanon and Syria.
23:31 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
02
I said that the Mullahs would be happy to starve their own population to fund their military presence in Lebanon and Syria. Meaning that if they had a choice between the welfare of their population and that of their power trip, they would choose the latter.
Furthermore, the GDP per capita of Iran is $4,763 and that of oil rich Lebanon is $9,928. Iraq's is $6,670. The Mullahs love to line their pockets and that of their progeny.
As for the "paid to post" comment, I say: bad loser. Really at the end of the day who cares if Iran, Russia or Saudi have a few billion less, what I care is to see this $9,928 per capita GDP go up and up and up and up.
14:07 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
21
you guys are thinking of how it affects Russia and Iran, or USA and China none of you seem nationalistic. none of you even considered how it will have an effect on Lebanon just thinking of world powers or regional ones. the reality is that oil was overpriced,since 2008 its p4ices went up dramatically, did you forget how it was only 30 $ a barrel? people are paying so much more on the gas pumps, making food ,electricity and other products more expensive. more importantly the lebanese government pays some subsidies on oil to lower the gas prices on the lebanese public and we both know our government is cash strapped!! and at the end of a day having the two largest economies(USA and China)in the world benefit will evetually actually befenit most world economies(expect heavily sanctioned countries that rely on selling oil) including lebanon because globalization in their economies.
19:00 ,2014 كانون الأول 16
71
that has nothing to do with being nationalistic. we're watching the saudis being stupid and laughing at their bad management of their resources.
00:31 ,2014 كانون الأول 17
01
Saudi has a $750 billion sovereign wealth fund, I would not worry about them. Worry about the shale oil cowboys, the crazy mullahs and the wannabe tzars.
