Putin Says Not 100% Sure Syria Will Comply with Chemical Deal, but Move 'Inspires Confidence'
إقرأ هذا الخبر بالعربيةRussian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday he was confident but not 100 percent sure that Syria would carry out its commitments to destroy its chemical weapons stockpiles under a Russia-U.S. agreement.
"Will we manage to carry it through? I can't say 100 percent, but all that we have seen recently, in the last few days, inspires confidence that it is possible and that it will be done," Putin said at a meeting of the Valdai international discussion club with Western politicians and journalists in the northwestern Novgorod region.
Putin said Syrian President Bashar Assad's regime was already putting into practice the proposals announced by U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Geneva on Saturday.
The framework agreement agreed by the two countries calls for Syria to hand over all its chemical weapons for destruction by mid-2014.
"Will we manage to convince Assad or not? I don't know," Putin said. "But so far everything looks as if Syria has fully agreed with our proposal and is ready to act according to the plan that is being developed by the international community at the United Nations."
In a first step, Syria has already announced it will abide by the terms of the international ban on chemical weapons, Putin said.
"These are practical steps that the Syrian government has already taken."
The U.S.-Russia plan is the result of intense diplomacy to avert U.S.-led military action against the Syrian regime, which Washington and its allies blame for a deadly gas attack on a Damascus suburb last month.
The U.S. has however insisted that the threat of force should remain on the table should Syria fail to comply with the agreement.
"If the attempts to resolve the problem peacefully aren't successful, this will be extremely bad," Putin acknowledged.
But he insisted that only the UN Security Council could discuss the question of whether to use force against Syria.
The Russian leader, whose government is Syria's most powerful ally, insisted it was not proven who was behind the chemical weapons attack in Ghouta that killed hundreds of people including many children on August 21.
"It's clear that (chemical) arms were used... It's just not clear who did it," he said.
"We talk all the time about the responsibility of the Assad regime if he used them. But what if the opposition used them? No one says what we will do with the opposition then, and this is not an idle question," Putin said.
"We have every reason to believe that it was a provocation."
He claimed that the chemical attack was set up by rebel forces to appear as if it was carried out by Assad's regime.
He argued that this was done in a "primitive" way because the attack used an outdated type of shell made in the Soviet Union that the Syrian army no longer uses.
Putin warned Washington against supporting rebel forces, saying it would have to deal with the consequences of helping al-Qaida-linked fighters.
"You will help them take power, and then what? Will you swat them away with a newspaper?"
He also spoke about the role of Israel in the region, saying that Syria had developed its chemical weapons as a counterweight to Israel, which is widely believed to be nuclear-armed.
"Chemical weapons appeared in Syria as an alternative to the nuclear weapons of Israel, we know this very well," Putin said.
"The technical advantage of Israel -- we need to say this directly -- is such that it doesn't need nuclear weapons. Israel is already in a technical military sense several heads above the countries in the region," he said.
"Nuclear weapons just make it a target. They just create foreign policy problems."
From reading the news, it seems the decommissioning of the stockpile requires around $1billion. Simply no way for the regime to allocate that much funds when the fiercest and most brutal guerrilla proxy war of the century is being waged on its grounds, not to mention all the destruction and destitute and the sensitivity of basic commodities that much be secured for the population.
I've read also that Al-Assad is in compliance if any other country would pay for it, and has asked for the US in that regard, though I suspect it cannot do so since Obama's struggling in congress to raise the debt limit and prevent a government shutdown amidst the huge unsustainable debt the US has amassed. The UK can take it on I'm sure.
I'm relieved you ask, banima3roof.., because it is indeed a veritably valid question to pose. I obviously don't know much about dismantling and disposing of chemical weapons and none of us either, I'd say, so here's the words of an expert who was a pioneer in decommissioning the soviet's NCBs and former U.S. Senator, Richard Lugar:
"We have developed equipment that can go out into the field on fairly short order, set up, and it can move its way through from five to 25 tons of chemical substance a day," Lugar told Reuters."
"These people talking about the fact that this (destruction of Syria's chemical weapons) might take months, years, just obviously are not aware" of the new U.S. equipment, Lugar said.
At most a month or two if the regime cooperates, though the cost of dismantling them, as I said previously, it can't afford, and has therefor asked for assistance in that regard. Therefor, it is doable without more war.
Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/09/13/us-syria-crisis-usa-lugar-idUSBRE98C0YZ20130913
banima3roof.., yep, and if they're bound to avoid a US strike then they will comply(and vowed to do), so I think they will. The first inspection date is set to November, I think that by then everything would be clear and going smoothly in that regard since it isn't a time-frame that's pressuring.
I cannot believe the US fell for this-- stalls, delays and smoke screens. Syria should have been blitzed few weeks ago and taught a lesson-
usa don t want... israel doesn t want... assad is too precious for them to keep the golan quiet... assad is their guy! LOL! which makes M8 accomplices with israel and the USA , see the irony? LOL!
Well, peace, Israel has made public its inclination and rather wish that Al-Assad be replaced with someone less sympathetic to Iran, someone who will not provide a liaison from Iran to Hizbullah, and someone who will not stand against Israel in defense of Iran militarily when it coerces the US to spill American blood to destroy Iran. Yes, it's high time to replace Al-Assad. The Golan's old news, nobody would dare challenge Israel, no matter who his replacement.
The Israeli ambassador to the US has gone as far as to say AlQaida would be a better alternative to Al-Assad, and that their intention from the start was to oust him. Not to mention AIPAC working 200+ lobbyists in congress for military intervention.
See http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/09/17/syria-crisis-israel-idINDEE98G07Z20130917
there is the official speech and unofficial position... over the decades, not a single fire shot not a move to aggress israel after 1973 proves how vital assad is to maintain peace... and it is a fact that they made the deal with the assad family "you stay if you do nothing against us!"
peace, I see, but that dynamic is changing I believe. The Golan is no longer an issue as no one would dare think of attacking Israel, absolutely no country on the face of the earth, so that proposition is I think no longer valid. Israel now wants more since the Golan is secured out of fear by the Arab (and indeed the entire) world. They want someone who's less cooperative with Iran in hopes of eliminating Hizbullah and its conduit from Iran, while also guaranteeing Iran has no regional allies to protect it militarily in face of Israeli-led US invasion or other such operations.
True. Israel wants to keep Assad. Imagine if Alqaida took over, Israel will be finished. Look of what Al qaida doing every day to these poor jews in Syria and Iraq: its blowing their lives away specially the jews in Maalola. Now imagin if the FSA took over with its Saudi backing; again toruble to Israel; as we speak, the rockets from Al Saud is landing in Israel. The jews are freaking out of this possibility. Or imagine if Muslim Brotherhood took over Syria. Oh my Lord, haven't we witnessed what Morsi of Egypt did to Israel. If he stayed one more week in power, Israel would had been history.
therfore putin1 M8 should be happy if FSA or alqaeda take the power in syria, they would do what assad never did: fight israel... isn t what M8 wants? fight and destroy israel!! but rather they choose to defend a regime that protects israel, go figure how twisted and schizophrenic their mind is.....
why does it bother you? did they ever use nuclaar weapons? they could have over iran when iran claimed they wanted to erase israel...
poor southern...
1/ i am not bothered because you criticize i am just stating facts... if now stating facts makes you a traitor then you must see a doctor...
2/ assad's syria is as much an enemy as israel but you don t see it... i don t know therfore who is the traitor! LOL
but M8 brainwash minds thanked syria for all the good things they did to lebanon! LOL!
seeing zionists everywhee is a sign that you are secretly in love with them but too frustrated to make your coming out! you need a shrink it seems.... friendly advice!
I agree with putin the US and its allies don't seem to even want to consider the possibility of the rebels doing this attack, but think about it the rebels were losing on the ground and they knew that a chemical attack would provoke the US into attacking the regime and I have seen these so called rebels kidnap Lebanese pilgrims,kill children and destroy property. so attacking there own people is not beyond them , so why not as the US what they would do if it was in fact the rebels who did this. The last time the UN said it was the rebels , the US simply did not want to hear it so that gives an idea of how they operate
Whether the Assad regime did it or the so called FSA rebels, Lebanon has thousands of Syrian refugees to deal with! Lebanon needs one strong leader to take control of the entire country under military rule until we oust and cut the legs of our current so called politicians/leaders who have ties with foreign interests, OR PARTITION PLEASE. Look at the Israelis, their economy has boomed, already pumping oil, while our sorry excuse of politicians are on all fours servicing their masters, and the arch enemies of Israel, Palestinians, are still in Lebanon running free. How funny is this. Sad but true.
vincent, provide some sources about israel pumping oil and its recession hit 'booming' economy or else stop posting unsubstantiated stuff.
I'm for parition, every single lebanese politician top to bottom from all corners of the world should be hanged drawn and quartered
traitors